It's all a matter of numbers really.
Forget published e.t.s for now,..we'll only focus on Those that deal with weight, and power.
Weight and power is how et's are calculated.
The 310 hp figure is fact. So is the 3500lb curb weight.
You have a vert. 3300 pounds are fact. Your power figure is guesstimated since you don't know. It's been offered that you may see 240, let's say 250.
Conventional math at both of your power levels equate to this:
For every 100 lbs weight savings, you'll pick up a .10.
For every 10 hp you'll pick up a .10.
So,..did you figure it out yet?....
You'll gain (2) tenths on dude because you're less portly.
He'll pick up (6) tenths on you because of the power difference.
6-2=4.
Advantage ecoboost.
While in this case i failed to see that it was a vert (and while i like them, i wouldn't want one again), i have little faith in them in any type of drag race unless pretty heavily modified.
But as far as crunching power to weight numbers, for years foxes have been been defying the power to weight logic.
Using myself for an example, running 13.6 (and i was far from the quickest in my group with basic bolt ons) with no real parts, lets say 215rwhp, the same ecoboost car should have mopped the floor with my timeslip. Not sure if it's the hp or torque curve or what, but the math just doesn't always pan out.
Hell, foxes outran Lt1 vettes pretty much all the time and they likely had the power to weight advantage.
With that said, in this particular case based on it being a vert i'll amend my original assessment that it would be much closer than people thought, it probably won't, lol.

